This is seen with Bush Jr (2000) and Trump (2016) elections. ❶ It is well known that you can lose the popular vote yet win the presidency. Logit allows you to calculate the probability of winning based on the binary outcome win (1) and lose (0) against the popular vote share. The popular vote share is on the x axis, the probability of winning and election outcomes on the y axis. My data include the elections 1948-2020¹. presidential election given a popular vote share. I illustrate it with the probability of winning or losing the U.S. Logistic regression (logit) is one of the most useful tools in statistical analysis. In my classification of effort into Copy-Tabulate-Analyze, this is a (visual) tabulation. Note that Russian cities have fallen in the ranks after its attack on Ukraine. I will post regularly on city insights and how many companies can succeed with city-centric strategies. The purpose of this post is to introduce the topic of city performance. At the bottom of our more extensive list is Kisangani. Our findings are similar to GaWC, but with much higher ranking of select cities. Tellusant uses a different to assess city competitiveness. Emerging hubs are parts of South America, India, and Southeast Asia. The map shows that there are three hubs: North America (mainly eastern), Europe (mainly western), and East Asia. The classification is made from economic, political and cultural metrics. From there, integration decreases across Beta and Gamma cities.Ĭities classed as Sufficiency are not strongly integrated with the global economy, but they are seen as sufficiently independent of the world cities to be able to sustain themselves. London and New York are considered the highest within this group: Alpha ++. GaWC divides cities into Alpha, Beta, Gamma, and Sufficiency, with further subdivisions (see map plotting 2020 ranking).Īlpha cities are the most integrated with the global economy. What is a winning city? The Globalization and World Cities Research Network (GaWC) has classified this. Picking winning cities is therefore important to global companies. Cities are in many respects what drives the world forward.
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